Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 16 · v5

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is in it.

5 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.

This alert is in force until 16 September 2026, 14:30 UTC.

It is the 6th strongest of the 14 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 6 June 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 7 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued September 15 at 9:17PM CDT until September 17 at 2:23AM CDT by NWS Des Moines IA

Nearby, since 6 June 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)16 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.61/1
Coordinates41.2791, -94.4385
Nearest CityWaukee (59 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 50 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-09-16T02:17:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.c249e171a9259b51ccdd9ebdbc976aa7d0beb8e9.001.1

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-16T02:17:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-16T02:19:23.027Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescPolk, IA; Adair, IA; Montgomery, IA
HeadlineFlood Warning issued September 15 at 9:17PM CDT until September 17 at 2:23AM CDT by NWS Des Moines IA
Expires2026-09-16T09:30:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Des Moines IA
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c249e171a9259b51ccdd9ebdbc976aa7d0beb8e9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7c82d702fc88e589d8af40e38251ff8c829a9c42.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7360b537cf9b79a58cc8c751e431705209f43b03.001.1"]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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